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ENG Inglismaa Southern Premier League - lõuna · Mäng ·

Basingstoke vs Evesham United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–23.62 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit46%
Viik26%
Võõrsilvõit28%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit46% selection probability
Projected score2–2BasingstokeEvesham United
Expected goals3.62Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle70% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
46% / 26% / 28%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Topeltvõimalus1274.5%1.34
Üle 70% · Alla 30%Goals 2.5Üle70%1.43
Jah 70% · Ei 30%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah70%1.43
3.62 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–2
8.8 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapBasingstoke winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Basingstoke win46%2.171.9147.1%-1.1 pp
Viik26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Evesham United win28%3.573.3027.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Basingstoke1.72

Kodu share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals3.62Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 70% · Alla 30%

Evesham United1.90

Võõras share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJah 70% · Ei 30%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Basingstoke

0.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punktid3

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Evesham United

1.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punktid9

SignalKodu failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Võit probability excluding draw
28%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.72
Expected goals
1.90
BasingstokeEvesham United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Basingstoke signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Evesham United signalKodu failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Basingstoke vs Evesham United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Basingstoke võit 46%,Viik 26%,Evesham United võit 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Üle 2.5 70% · Current selection Üle