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ENG Inglaterra - Southern Premier League - División Sur · Partido ·

Basingstoke vs Evesham United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–23.62 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local46%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante28%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local46% selection probability
Projected score2–2BasingstokeEvesham United
Expected goals3.62Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de70% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
46% / 26% / 28%Resultado del partidoVictoria local46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Doble Oportunidad1274.5%1.34
Más de 70% · Menos de 30%Goals 2.5Más de70%1.43
Sí 70% · No 30%Ambos equipos marcan70%1.43
3.62 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–2
8.8 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapBasingstoke winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Basingstoke win46%2.171.9147.1%-1.1 pp
Empate26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Evesham United win28%3.573.3027.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Basingstoke1.72

Local share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals3.62Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 70% · Menos de 30%

Evesham United1.90

Visitante share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 70% · No 30%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Basingstoke

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puntos3

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Evesham United

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Ganado probability excluding draw
28%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.72
Expected goals
1.90
BasingstokeEvesham United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Basingstoke signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Evesham United signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Basingstoke vs Evesham United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Basingstoke ganada 46%,Empate 26%,Evesham United ganada 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Más de 2.5 70% · Current selection Más de