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ENG Inglaterra - Southern League - Premier Division - Sul · Partida ·

Basingstoke vs Evesham United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–23.62 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa46%
Empate26%
Vitória visitante28%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa46% selection probability
Projected score2–2BasingstokeEvesham United
Expected goals3.62Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima70% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
46% / 26% / 28%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Dupla Chance1274.5%1.34
Acima 70% · Abaixo 30%Goals 2.5Acima70%1.43
Sim 70% · Não 30%Ambas as equipes marcamSim70%1.43
3.62 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–2
8.8 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapBasingstoke winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Basingstoke win46%2.171.9147.1%-1.1 pp
Empate26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Evesham United win28%3.573.3027.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Basingstoke1.72

Mandante share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals3.62Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 70% · Abaixo 30%

Evesham United1.90

Visitante share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitSim 70% · Não 30%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Basingstoke

0.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Pontos3

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Evesham United

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontos9

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
28%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.72
Expected goals
1.90
BasingstokeEvesham United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Basingstoke signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Evesham United signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Basingstoke vs Evesham United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Basingstoke ganhou 46%,Empate 26%,Evesham United ganhou 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Acima 2.5 70% · Current selection Acima