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ENG Angleterre - Southern Premier League South · Match ·

Basingstoke vs Evesham United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–23.62 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile46%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur28%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile46% selection probability
Projected score2–2BasingstokeEvesham United
Expected goals3.62Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de70% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
46% / 26% / 28%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Double chance1274.5%1.34
Plus de 70% · Moins de 30%Goals 2.5Plus de70%1.43
Oui 70% · Non 30%Les deux équipes marquentOui70%1.43
3.62 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
8.8 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapBasingstoke winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Basingstoke win46%2.171.9147.1%-1.1 pp
Nul26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Evesham United win28%3.573.3027.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Basingstoke1.72

Domicile share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals3.62Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 70% · Moins de 30%

Evesham United1.90

Extérieur share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 70% · Non 30%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Basingstoke

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Evesham United

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gagné probability excluding draw
28%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.72
Expected goals
1.90
BasingstokeEvesham United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Basingstoke signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Evesham United signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Basingstoke vs Evesham United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Basingstoke victoire 46%,Nul 26%,Evesham United victoire 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Plus de 2.5 70% · Current selection Plus de