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ENG Anglia - Southern Premier League - South · Mecz ·

Gloucester City vs Chertsey Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.80 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy51%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości24%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy51% selection probability
Projected score2–1Gloucester CityChertsey Town
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej53% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
51% / 25% / 24%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Chertsey Town win (24.5%)Podwójna szansa1X75.5%1.32
Powyżej 53% · Poniżej 47%Goals 2.5Powyżej53%1.89
Tak 41% · Nie 59%Obie drużyny strzeląNie59%1.69
2.80 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
8.7 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapGloucester City winDifference+2.4 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gloucester City win51%1.961.8548.6%+2.4 pp
Remis25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Chertsey Town win24%4.173.4026.4%-2.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gloucester City2.20

Gospodarze share of expected goals 78.6%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 53% · Poniżej 47%

Chertsey Town0.60

Goście share of expected goals 21.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 41% · Nie 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Gloucester City

2.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkty13

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Chertsey Town

2.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkty12

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
24%
13
Points from supplied form
12
2.20
Expected goals
0.60
Gloucester CityChertsey Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gloucester City signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chertsey Town signalGospodarze clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Gloucester City vs Chertsey Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gloucester City wygrana 51%,Remis 25%,Chertsey Town wygrana 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Powyżej 2.5 53% · Current selection Powyżej