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ENG England - Southern Premier League - South · Kamp ·

Gloucester City vs Chertsey Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.80 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr51%
Uafgjort25%
Udesejr24%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr51% selection probability
Projected score2–1Gloucester CityChertsey Town
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
51% / 25% / 24%KampresultatHjemmesejr51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Chertsey Town win (24.5%)Dobbeltchance1X75.5%1.32
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Ja 41% · Nej 59%Begge hold scorerNej59%1.69
2.80 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapGloucester City winDifference+2.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gloucester City win51%1.961.8548.6%+2.4 pp
Uafgjort25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Chertsey Town win24%4.173.4026.4%-2.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gloucester City2.20

Hjemme share of expected goals 78.6%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

Chertsey Town0.60

Ude share of expected goals 21.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 41% · Nej 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Gloucester City

2.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Point13

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Chertsey Town

2.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Point12

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Vundet probability excluding draw
24%
13
Points from supplied form
12
2.20
Expected goals
0.60
Gloucester CityChertsey Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gloucester City signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chertsey Town signalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Gloucester City vs Chertsey Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gloucester City vundet 51%,Uafgjort 25%,Chertsey Town vundet 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over