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ENG Anglia - Southern Premier League South · Meci ·

Gloucester City vs Chertsey Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.80 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde51%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți24%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde51% selection probability
Projected score2–1Gloucester CityChertsey Town
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste53% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
51% / 25% / 24%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Chertsey Town win (24.5%)Șansă dublă1X75.5%1.32
Peste 53% · Sub 47%Goals 2.5Peste53%1.89
Da 41% · Nu 59%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu59%1.69
2.80 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapGloucester City winDifference+2.4 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gloucester City win51%1.961.8548.6%+2.4 pp
Egal25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Chertsey Town win24%4.173.4026.4%-2.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gloucester City2.20

Gazde share of expected goals 78.6%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 53% · Sub 47%

Chertsey Town0.60

Oaspeți share of expected goals 21.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 41% · Nu 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Gloucester City

2.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puncte13

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Chertsey Town

2.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12

SignalGazde clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Câștig probability excluding draw
24%
13
Points from supplied form
12
2.20
Expected goals
0.60
Gloucester CityChertsey Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gloucester City signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chertsey Town signalGazde clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Gloucester City vs Chertsey Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gloucester City câștig 51%,Egal 25%,Chertsey Town câștig 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Peste 2.5 53% · Current selection Peste