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ENG England - Southern Premier League - South · Kamp ·

Berkhamsted vs Havant and W

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.98 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr56%
Uafgjort25%
Udesejr19%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr56% selection probability
Projected score2–1BerkhamstedHavant and W
Expected goals2.98Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over57% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
56% / 25% / 19%KampresultatHjemmesejr56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Havant and W win (19.3%)Dobbeltchance1X80.7%1.24
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Begge hold scorerJa51%1.96
2.98 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Berkhamsted win56%1.79
Uafgjort25%4.00
Havant and W win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Berkhamsted2.12

Hjemme share of expected goals 71.1%

Total expected goals2.98Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%

Havant and W0.86

Ude share of expected goals 28.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Berkhamsted

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Havant and W

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Vundet probability excluding draw
19%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.12
Expected goals
0.86
BerkhamstedHavant and W
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Berkhamsted signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Havant and W signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Berkhamsted vs Havant and W FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Berkhamsted vundet 56%,Uafgjort 25%,Havant and W vundet 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.98 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over