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ENG England - Southern Premier League South · Match ·

Berkhamsted vs Havant and W

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.98 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger46%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger29%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger46% selection probability
Projected score2–1BerkhamstedHavant and W
Expected goals2.98Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över57% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
46% / 25% / 29%MatchresultatHemmaseger46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.3%)Dubbelchans1274.7%1.34
Över 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Över57%1.75
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Båda lagen gör målJa51%1.96
2.98 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapBerkhamsted winDifference+2.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Berkhamsted win46%2.172.0543.6%+2.4 pp
Oavgjort25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Havant and W win29%3.452.9030.8%-1.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Berkhamsted2.12

Hemma share of expected goals 71.1%

Total expected goals2.98Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 57% · Under 43%

Havant and W0.86

Borta share of expected goals 28.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Berkhamsted

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Havant and W

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
29%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.12
Expected goals
0.86
BerkhamstedHavant and W
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Berkhamsted signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Havant and W signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Berkhamsted vs Havant and W FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Berkhamsted vunnen 46%,Oavgjort 25%,Havant and W vunnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.98 · Över 2.5 57% · Current selection Över