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DEU Niemcy - Bundesliga II · Round 1 ·

Nurnberg vs Dynamo Dresden

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.92 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy41%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości31%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy41% selection probability
Projected score2–1NurnbergDynamo Dresden
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej56% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
41% / 28% / 31%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Podwójna szansa1272.4%1.38
Powyżej 56% · Poniżej 44%Goals 2.5Powyżej56%1.79
Tak 59% · Nie 41%Obie drużyny strzeląTak59%1.69
2.92 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.0 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Nurnberg win41%2.44
Remis28%3.57
Dynamo Dresden win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nurnberg1.64

Gospodarze share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 56% · Poniżej 44%

Dynamo Dresden1.28

Goście share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 59% · Nie 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Nurnberg

2.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkty11

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Dynamo Dresden

2.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkty12

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
31%
11
Points from supplied form
12
1.64
Expected goals
1.28
NurnbergDynamo Dresden
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nurnberg signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dynamo Dresden signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Nurnberg vs Dynamo Dresden FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nurnberg wygrana 41%,Remis 28%,Dynamo Dresden wygrana 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Powyżej 2.5 56% · Current selection Powyżej