Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
41% / 28% / 31%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Dubbele Kans1272.4%1.38
Boven 56% · Onder 44%Goals 2.5Boven56%1.79
Ja 59% · Nee 41%Beide teams scorenJa59%1.69
2.93 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
10.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Nurnberg win41%2.44
Gelijkspel28%3.57
Dynamo Dresden win31%3.23
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 56%
Total expected goals2.93Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 56% · Onder 44%
Uit share of expected goals 44%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nee 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchNurnberg
WWDWD
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11
SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5
Uit-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchDynamo Dresden
WWWLW
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
41%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
31%11
Points from supplied form
121.64
Expected goals
1.29NurnbergDynamo Dresden
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Nurnberg vs Dynamo Dresden FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Nurnberg gewonnen 41%，Gelijkspel 28%，Dynamo Dresden gewonnen 31%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.93 · Boven 2.5 56% · Current selection Boven。