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DEU ドイツ ブンデスリーガII · Round 1 ·

ニュルンベルク vs ディナモドレスデン

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.92 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利41%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利31%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利41% selection probability
Projected score2–1ニュルンベルクディナモドレスデン
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー56% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
41% / 28% / 31%試合結果ホーム勝利41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)ダブルチャンス1272.4%1.38
オーバー 56% · アンダー 44%Goals 2.5オーバー56%1.79
はい 59% · いいえ 41%両チーム得点はい59%1.69
2.92 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.0 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ニュルンベルク win41%2.44
引き分け28%3.57
ディナモドレスデン win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ニュルンベルク1.64

ホーム share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 56% · アンダー 44%

ディナモドレスデン1.28

アウェイ share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 59% · いいえ 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ニュルンベルク

2.20pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn2Losses0ポイント11

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ディナモドレスデン

2.40pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn0Losses1ポイント12

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
勝ち probability excluding draw
31%
11
Points from supplied form
12
1.64
Expected goals
1.28
ニュルンベルクディナモドレスデン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ニュルンベルク signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ディナモドレスデン signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

ニュルンベルク vs ディナモドレスデン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ニュルンベルク 勝ち 41%,引き分け 28%,ディナモドレスデン 勝ち 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · オーバー 2.5 56% · Current selection オーバー