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DEU Německo - Bundesliga II · Round 1 ·

Norimberk vs Dynamo Drážďany

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–12.92 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích41%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostů31%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích41% selection probability
Projected score2–1NorimberkDynamo Drážďany
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Více56% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
41% / 28% / 31%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Dvojitá šance1272.4%1.38
Více 56% · Méně 44%Goals 2.5Více56%1.79
Ano 59% · Ne 41%Oba týmy skórujíAno59%1.69
2.92 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
10.0 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Norimberk win41%2.44
Remíza28%3.57
Dynamo Drážďany win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Norimberk1.64

Domácí share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 56% · Méně 44%

Dynamo Drážďany1.28

Hosté share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 59% · Ne 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Norimberk

2.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Body11

SignalDomácí unbeaten 5/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Dynamo Drážďany

2.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Body12

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Výhra probability excluding draw
31%
11
Points from supplied form
12
1.64
Expected goals
1.28
NorimberkDynamo Drážďany
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Norimberk signalDomácí unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dynamo Drážďany signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Norimberk vs Dynamo Drážďany FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Norimberk výhra 41%,Remíza 28%,Dynamo Drážďany výhra 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Více 2.5 56% · Current selection Více