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DEU 德國乙級聯賽 · Round 1 ·

紐倫堡 vs 德雷斯頓

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.92 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝41%
28%
客勝31%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝41% selection probability
Projected score2–1紐倫堡德雷斯頓
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.556% for the selected side
雙方進球59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
41% / 28% / 31%比賽結果主勝41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)雙重機會1272.4%1.38
大 56% · 小 44%Goals 2.556%1.79
是 59% · 否 41%雙方進球59%1.69
2.92 total expected goals正確比分2–1
10.0 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
紐倫堡 win41%2.44
28%3.57
德雷斯頓 win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

紐倫堡1.64

主隊 share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 56% · 44%

德雷斯頓1.28

客隊 share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 59% · 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

紐倫堡

2.20pts / match
5Wins3Drawn2Losses0積分11

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

德雷斯頓

2.40pts / match
5Wins4Drawn0Losses1積分12

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
贏 probability excluding draw
31%
11
Points from supplied form
12
1.64
Expected goals
1.28
紐倫堡德雷斯頓
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01紐倫堡 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02德雷斯頓 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

紐倫堡 vs 德雷斯頓 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

紐倫堡 41%, 28%,德雷斯頓 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · 大2.5 56% · Current selection