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DEU Germania - Bundesliga II · Round 1 ·

Nurnberg vs Dinamo Dresda

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.93 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde41%
Egal28%
Victorie oaspeți31%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde41% selection probability
Projected score2–1NurnbergDinamo Dresda
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste56% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
41% / 28% / 31%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Șansă dublă1272.5%1.38
Peste 56% · Sub 44%Goals 2.5Peste56%1.79
Da 59% · Nu 41%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa59%1.69
2.93 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Nurnberg win41%2.44
Egal28%3.57
Dinamo Dresda win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nurnberg1.64

Gazde share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 56% · Sub 44%

Dinamo Dresda1.29

Oaspeți share of expected goals 44%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 59% · Nu 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Nurnberg

2.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puncte11

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Dinamo Dresda

2.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Câștig probability excluding draw
31%
11
Points from supplied form
12
1.64
Expected goals
1.29
NurnbergDinamo Dresda
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nurnberg signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dinamo Dresda signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Nurnberg vs Dinamo Dresda FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nurnberg câștig 41%,Egal 28%,Dinamo Dresda câștig 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Peste 2.5 56% · Current selection Peste