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DEU ドイツ ブンデスリーガII · Round 1 ·

ザンクトパウリ vs グロイターフュルト

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利44%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利31%
Baseline forecastホーム勝利Tier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利44% selection probability
Projected score2–1ザンクトパウリグロイターフュルト
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー55% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
44% / 25% / 31%試合結果ホーム勝利44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)ダブルチャンス1275.4%1.33
オーバー 55% · アンダー 45%Goals 2.5オーバー55%1.82
はい 58% · いいえ 42%両チーム得点はい58%1.72
2.88 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.0 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ザンクトパウリ win44%2.27
引き分け25%4.00
グロイターフュルト win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ザンクトパウリ1.59

ホーム share of expected goals 55.2%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 55% · アンダー 45%

グロイターフュルト1.29

アウェイ share of expected goals 44.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 58% · いいえ 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ザンクトパウリ

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

グロイターフュルト

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
勝ち probability excluding draw
31%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.59
Expected goals
1.29
ザンクトパウリグロイターフュルト
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ザンクトパウリ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02グロイターフュルト signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

ザンクトパウリ vs グロイターフュルト FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ザンクトパウリ 勝ち 44%,引き分け 25%,グロイターフュルト 勝ち 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · オーバー 2.5 55% · Current selection オーバー