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DEU Germany Bundesliga II · Round 1 ·

St Pauli vs Greuther Furth

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.87 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier44%
Uavgjort25%
Borteseier31%
Baseline forecastHjemmeseierTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier44% selection probability
Projected score2–1St PauliGreuther Furth
Expected goals2.87Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
44% / 25% / 31%KampresultatHjemmeseier44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Dobbel sjanse1275.4%1.33
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Ja 57% · Nei 43%Begge lag scorerJa57%1.75
2.87 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
St Pauli win44%2.27
Uavgjort25%4.00
Greuther Furth win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Pauli1.58

Hjemme share of expected goals 55.1%

Total expected goals2.87Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

Greuther Furth1.29

Borte share of expected goals 44.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 57% · Nei 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

St Pauli

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Greuther Furth

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
31%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.58
Expected goals
1.29
St PauliGreuther Furth
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Pauli signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Greuther Furth signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

St Pauli vs Greuther Furth FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Pauli vunnet 44%,Uavgjort 25%,Greuther Furth vunnet 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.87 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over