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DEU Nemecko - Bundesliga II · Round 1 ·

St Pauli vs Greuther Fürth

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich44%
Remíza25%
Výhra hostí31%
Baseline forecastVýhra domácichTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich44% selection probability
Projected score2–1St PauliGreuther Fürth
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac55% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
44% / 25% / 31%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Dvojitá šanca1275.4%1.33
Viac 55% · Menej 45%Goals 2.5Viac55%1.82
Áno 58% · Nie 42%Oba tímy skórujúÁno58%1.72
2.88 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
10.0 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
St Pauli win44%2.27
Remíza25%4.00
Greuther Fürth win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Pauli1.59

Domáci share of expected goals 55.2%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 55% · Menej 45%

Greuther Fürth1.29

Hostia share of expected goals 44.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 58% · Nie 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

St Pauli

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Greuther Fürth

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Výhra probability excluding draw
31%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.59
Expected goals
1.29
St PauliGreuther Fürth
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Pauli signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Greuther Fürth signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

St Pauli vs Greuther Fürth FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Pauli výhra 44%,Remíza 25%,Greuther Fürth výhra 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Viac 2.5 55% · Current selection Viac