MatchFormula Trouver un match
Menu
UTC+8
Fuseau horaireAsia/Shanghai
Français
DEU Allemagne - Bundesliga II · Round 1 ·

St Pauli vs Greuther Furth

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.87 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile44%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur31%
Baseline forecastVictoire à domicileTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile44% selection probability
Projected score2–1St PauliGreuther Furth
Expected goals2.87Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de55% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
44% / 25% / 31%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Double chance1275.4%1.33
Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%Goals 2.5Plus de55%1.82
Oui 57% · Non 43%Les deux équipes marquentOui57%1.75
2.87 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
St Pauli win44%2.27
Nul25%4.00
Greuther Furth win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Pauli1.58

Domicile share of expected goals 55.1%

Total expected goals2.87Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%

Greuther Furth1.29

Extérieur share of expected goals 44.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 57% · Non 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

St Pauli

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Greuther Furth

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gagné probability excluding draw
31%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.58
Expected goals
1.29
St PauliGreuther Furth
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Pauli signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Greuther Furth signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

St Pauli vs Greuther Furth FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Pauli victoire 44%,Nul 25%,Greuther Furth victoire 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.87 · Plus de 2.5 55% · Current selection Plus de