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UZB Uzbekistan - PFL · Mecz ·

Neftchi Fargona vs Qizilqum Zarafshon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–02.43 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy75%
Remis17%
Wygrana gości8%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 75% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy75% selection probability
Projected score2–0Neftchi FargonaQizilqum Zarafshon
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej56% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie79% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
75% / 17% / 8%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Qizilqum Zarafshon win (7.6%)Podwójna szansa1X92.4%1.08
Powyżej 44% · Poniżej 56%Goals 2.5Poniżej56%1.79
Tak 21% · Nie 79%Obie drużyny strzeląNie79%1.27
2.43 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–0
8.7 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapNeftchi Fargona winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Neftchi Fargona win75%1.331.2074.8%+0.2 pp
Remis17%5.885.2517.1%-0.1 pp
Qizilqum Zarafshon win8%12.5011.008.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Neftchi Fargona2.16

Gospodarze share of expected goals 88.9%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 44% · Poniżej 56%

Qizilqum Zarafshon0.27

Goście share of expected goals 11.1%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitTak 21% · Nie 79%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Neftchi Fargona

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkty9

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Qizilqum Zarafshon

0.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkty2

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
8%
9
Points from supplied form
2
2.16
Expected goals
0.27
Neftchi FargonaQizilqum Zarafshon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Neftchi Fargona signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Qizilqum Zarafshon signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Neftchi Fargona vs Qizilqum Zarafshon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–0 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Neftchi Fargona wygrana 75%,Remis 17%,Qizilqum Zarafshon wygrana 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Powyżej 2.5 44% · Current selection Poniżej