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UZB Узбекистан - ПФЛ · Мач ·

Нефтчи Фаргона vs Кизилкум Зарафшон

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–02.43 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина75%
Равен17%
Победа за госта8%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 75% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина75% selection probability
Projected score2–0Нефтчи ФаргонаКизилкум Зарафшон
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под56% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе79% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
75% / 17% / 8%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Кизилкум Зарафшон win (7.6%)Двоен шанс1X92.4%1.08
Над 44% · Под 56%Goals 2.5Под56%1.79
Да 21% · Не 79%И двата отбора да отбележатНе79%1.27
2.43 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–0
8.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapНефтчи Фаргона winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Нефтчи Фаргона win75%1.331.2074.8%+0.2 pp
Равен17%5.885.2517.1%-0.1 pp
Кизилкум Зарафшон win8%12.5011.008.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Нефтчи Фаргона2.15

Домакин share of expected goals 88.5%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 44% · Под 56%

Кизилкум Зарафшон0.28

Гост share of expected goals 11.5%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitДа 21% · Не 79%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Нефтчи Фаргона

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Точки9

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Кизилкум Зарафшон

0.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Точки2

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
8%
9
Points from supplied form
2
2.15
Expected goals
0.28
Нефтчи ФаргонаКизилкум Зарафшон
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Нефтчи Фаргона signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Кизилкум Зарафшон signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Нефтчи Фаргона vs Кизилкум Зарафшон FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–0 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Нефтчи Фаргона печеливш 75%,Равен 17%,Кизилкум Зарафшон печеливш 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Над 2.5 44% · Current selection Под