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UZB ウズベキスタン PFL · 試合 ·

ネフチフェルガナ vs キジルクム・ザラフシャン

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–02.43 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利75%
引き分け17%
アウェイ勝利8%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 75% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利75% selection probability
Projected score2–0ネフチフェルガナキジルクム・ザラフシャン
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー56% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ79% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
75% / 17% / 8%試合結果ホーム勝利75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes キジルクム・ザラフシャン win (7.6%)ダブルチャンス1X92.4%1.08
オーバー 44% · アンダー 56%Goals 2.5アンダー56%1.79
はい 21% · いいえ 79%両チーム得点いいえ79%1.27
2.43 total expected goals正確なスコア2–0
8.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapネフチフェルガナ winDifference+0.2 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ネフチフェルガナ win75%1.331.2074.8%+0.2 pp
引き分け17%5.885.2517.1%-0.1 pp
キジルクム・ザラフシャン win8%12.5011.008.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ネフチフェルガナ2.16

ホーム share of expected goals 88.9%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 44% · アンダー 56%

キジルクム・ザラフシャン0.27

アウェイ share of expected goals 11.1%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitはい 21% · いいえ 79%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ネフチフェルガナ

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn3Losses0ポイント9

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

キジルクム・ザラフシャン

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
勝ち probability excluding draw
8%
9
Points from supplied form
2
2.16
Expected goals
0.27
ネフチフェルガナキジルクム・ザラフシャン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ネフチフェルガナ signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02キジルクム・ザラフシャン signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

ネフチフェルガナ vs キジルクム・ザラフシャン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–0 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ネフチフェルガナ 勝ち 75%,引き分け 17%,キジルクム・ザラフシャン 勝ち 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · オーバー 2.5 44% · Current selection アンダー