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UZB Uzbekistan - PFL · Zápas ·

Neftchi Fargona vs Qizilqum Zarafshon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–02.43 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich75%
Remíza17%
Výhra hostí8%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 75% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich75% selection probability
Projected score2–0Neftchi FargonaQizilqum Zarafshon
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menej56% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie79% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
75% / 17% / 8%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Qizilqum Zarafshon win (7.6%)Dvojitá šanca1X92.4%1.08
Viac 44% · Menej 56%Goals 2.5Menej56%1.79
Áno 21% · Nie 79%Oba tímy skórujúNie79%1.27
2.43 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–0
8.7 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapNeftchi Fargona winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Neftchi Fargona win75%1.331.2074.8%+0.2 pp
Remíza17%5.885.2517.1%-0.1 pp
Qizilqum Zarafshon win8%12.5011.008.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Neftchi Fargona2.16

Domáci share of expected goals 88.9%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 44% · Menej 56%

Qizilqum Zarafshon0.27

Hostia share of expected goals 11.1%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitÁno 21% · Nie 79%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Neftchi Fargona

1.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Body9

SignalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Qizilqum Zarafshon

0.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Body2

SignalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Výhra probability excluding draw
8%
9
Points from supplied form
2
2.16
Expected goals
0.27
Neftchi FargonaQizilqum Zarafshon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Neftchi Fargona signalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Qizilqum Zarafshon signalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Neftchi Fargona vs Qizilqum Zarafshon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–0 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Neftchi Fargona výhra 75%,Remíza 17%,Qizilqum Zarafshon výhra 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Viac 2.5 44% · Current selection Menej