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UZB Usbekistani PFL · Mäng ·

Fergana Neftchi vs Qizilqum Zarafshon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–02.43 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit75%
Viik17%
Võõrsilvõit8%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 75% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit75% selection probability
Projected score2–0Fergana NeftchiQizilqum Zarafshon
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alla56% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi79% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
75% / 17% / 8%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Qizilqum Zarafshon win (7.6%)Topeltvõimalus1X92.4%1.08
Üle 44% · Alla 56%Goals 2.5Alla56%1.79
Jah 21% · Ei 79%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi79%1.27
2.43 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–0
8.7 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapFergana Neftchi winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fergana Neftchi win75%1.331.2074.8%+0.2 pp
Viik17%5.885.2517.1%-0.1 pp
Qizilqum Zarafshon win8%12.5011.008.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fergana Neftchi2.16

Kodu share of expected goals 88.9%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 44% · Alla 56%

Qizilqum Zarafshon0.27

Võõras share of expected goals 11.1%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitJah 21% · Ei 79%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Fergana Neftchi

1.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punktid9

SignalKodu unbeaten 5/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Qizilqum Zarafshon

0.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punktid2

SignalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Võit probability excluding draw
8%
9
Points from supplied form
2
2.16
Expected goals
0.27
Fergana NeftchiQizilqum Zarafshon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fergana Neftchi signalKodu unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Qizilqum Zarafshon signalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Fergana Neftchi vs Qizilqum Zarafshon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–0 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fergana Neftchi võit 75%,Viik 17%,Qizilqum Zarafshon võit 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Üle 2.5 44% · Current selection Alla