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UZB Узбекистан - ПФЛ · Мач ·

Насаф Карши vs Коканд 1912

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.10 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина60%
Равен25%
Победа за госта15%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Насаф КаршиКоканд 1912
Expected goals2.10Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под65% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
60% / 25% / 15%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Коканд 1912 win (15.3%)Двоен шанс1X84.7%1.18
Над 35% · Под 65%Goals 2.5Под65%1.54
Да 34% · Не 66%И двата отбора да отбележатНе66%1.52
2.10 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.5 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapКоканд 1912 winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Насаф Карши win60%1.671.5059.6%+0.4 pp
Равен25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
Коканд 1912 win15%6.675.7515.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Насаф Карши1.55

Домакин share of expected goals 73.8%

Total expected goals2.10Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 35% · Под 65%

Коканд 19120.55

Гост share of expected goals 26.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 34% · Не 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Насаф Карши

2.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Точки11

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Коканд 1912

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Точки3

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
15%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.55
Expected goals
0.55
Насаф КаршиКоканд 1912
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Насаф Карши signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Коканд 1912 signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Насаф Карши vs Коканд 1912 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Насаф Карши печеливш 60%,Равен 25%,Коканд 1912 печеливш 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.10 · Над 2.5 35% · Current selection Под