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UZB Uzbekistan - PFL · Meci ·

Nasaf Qarshi vs FK Kokand 1912

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.10 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde60%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți15%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Nasaf QarshiFK Kokand 1912
Expected goals2.10Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub65% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
60% / 25% / 15%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Kokand 1912 win (15.3%)Șansă dublă1X84.7%1.18
Peste 35% · Sub 65%Goals 2.5Sub65%1.54
Da 34% · Nu 66%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu66%1.52
2.10 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapFK Kokand 1912 winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nasaf Qarshi win60%1.671.5059.6%+0.4 pp
Egal25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
FK Kokand 1912 win15%6.675.7515.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nasaf Qarshi1.55

Gazde share of expected goals 73.8%

Total expected goals2.10Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 35% · Sub 65%

FK Kokand 19120.55

Oaspeți share of expected goals 26.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 34% · Nu 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Nasaf Qarshi

2.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puncte11

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

FK Kokand 1912

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puncte3

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Câștig probability excluding draw
15%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.55
Expected goals
0.55
Nasaf QarshiFK Kokand 1912
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nasaf Qarshi signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Kokand 1912 signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Nasaf Qarshi vs FK Kokand 1912 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nasaf Qarshi câștig 60%,Egal 25%,FK Kokand 1912 câștig 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.10 · Peste 2.5 35% · Current selection Sub