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UZB Узбекистан - ПФЛ · Матч ·

Насаф Карши vs ФК Коканд 1912

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.10 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев60%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей15%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Насаф КаршиФК Коканд 1912
Expected goals2.10Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше65% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
60% / 25% / 15%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Коканд 1912 win (15.3%)Двойной шанс1X84.7%1.18
Больше 35% · Меньше 65%Goals 2.5Меньше65%1.54
Да 34% · Нет 66%Обе забьютНет66%1.52
2.10 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapФК Коканд 1912 winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Насаф Карши win60%1.671.5059.6%+0.4 pp
Ничья25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
ФК Коканд 1912 win15%6.675.7515.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Насаф Карши1.55

Хозяева share of expected goals 73.8%

Total expected goals2.10Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 35% · Меньше 65%

ФК Коканд 19120.55

Гости share of expected goals 26.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 34% · Нет 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Насаф Карши

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Коканд 1912

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
15%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.55
Expected goals
0.55
Насаф КаршиФК Коканд 1912
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Насаф Карши signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Коканд 1912 signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Насаф Карши vs ФК Коканд 1912 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Насаф Карши выигрыш 60%,Ничья 25%,ФК Коканд 1912 выигрыш 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.10 · ТБ 2.5 35% · Current selection Меньше