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UZB Uzbekistan PFL · Maç ·

Nasaf Qarshi vs FK Kokand 1912

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.10 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır60%
Beraberlik25%
Deplasman kazanır15%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Nasaf QarshiFK Kokand 1912
Expected goals2.10Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt65% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
60% / 25% / 15%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Kokand 1912 win (15.3%)Çifte Şans1X84.7%1.18
Üst 35% · Alt 65%Goals 2.5Alt65%1.54
Evet 34% · Hayır 66%Karşılıklı gol varHayır66%1.52
2.10 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
9.5 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapFK Kokand 1912 winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nasaf Qarshi win60%1.671.5059.6%+0.4 pp
Beraberlik25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
FK Kokand 1912 win15%6.675.7515.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nasaf Qarshi1.55

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 73.8%

Total expected goals2.10Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 35% · Alt 65%

FK Kokand 19120.55

Deplasman share of expected goals 26.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 34% · Hayır 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Nasaf Qarshi

2.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puan11

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

FK Kokand 1912

0.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puan3

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
15%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.55
Expected goals
0.55
Nasaf QarshiFK Kokand 1912
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nasaf Qarshi signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Kokand 1912 signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Nasaf Qarshi vs FK Kokand 1912 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nasaf Qarshi kazanç 60%,Beraberlik 25%,FK Kokand 1912 kazanç 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.10 · 2.5 Üst 35% · Current selection Alt