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UZB Uzbekistan - PFL · Mecz ·

Nasaf Qarshi vs FK Kokand 1912

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.10 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy60%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości15%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Nasaf QarshiFK Kokand 1912
Expected goals2.10Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej65% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
60% / 25% / 15%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Kokand 1912 win (15.3%)Podwójna szansa1X84.7%1.18
Powyżej 35% · Poniżej 65%Goals 2.5Poniżej65%1.54
Tak 34% · Nie 66%Obie drużyny strzeląNie66%1.52
2.10 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.5 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapFK Kokand 1912 winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nasaf Qarshi win60%1.671.5059.6%+0.4 pp
Remis25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
FK Kokand 1912 win15%6.675.7515.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nasaf Qarshi1.55

Gospodarze share of expected goals 73.8%

Total expected goals2.10Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 35% · Poniżej 65%

FK Kokand 19120.55

Goście share of expected goals 26.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 34% · Nie 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Nasaf Qarshi

2.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkty11

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

FK Kokand 1912

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkty3

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
15%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.55
Expected goals
0.55
Nasaf QarshiFK Kokand 1912
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nasaf Qarshi signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Kokand 1912 signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Nasaf Qarshi vs FK Kokand 1912 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nasaf Qarshi wygrana 60%,Remis 25%,FK Kokand 1912 wygrana 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.10 · Powyżej 2.5 35% · Current selection Poniżej