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UZB Узбекистан - ПФЛ · Матч ·

ФК Хорезм Ургенч vs Машал Мубарек

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев45%
Ничья33%
Победа гостей22%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев45% selection probability
Projected score1–1ФК Хорезм УргенчМашал Мубарек
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше73% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
45% / 33% / 22%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Машал Мубарек win (22.3%)Двойной шанс1X77.7%1.29
Больше 27% · Меньше 73%Goals 2.5Меньше73%1.37
Да 32% · Нет 68%Обе забьютНет68%1.47
1.78 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
ФК Хорезм Ургенч win45%2.22
Ничья33%3.03
Машал Мубарек win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Хорезм Ургенч1.19

Хозяева share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 27% · Меньше 73%

Машал Мубарек0.59

Гости share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 32% · Нет 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Хорезм Ургенч

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Машал Мубарек

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
22%
3
Points from supplied form
4
1.19
Expected goals
0.59
ФК Хорезм УргенчМашал Мубарек
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Хорезм Ургенч signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Машал Мубарек signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

ФК Хорезм Ургенч vs Машал Мубарек FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Хорезм Ургенч выигрыш 45%,Ничья 33%,Машал Мубарек выигрыш 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · ТБ 2.5 27% · Current selection Меньше