Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 33% / 22%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Mashal Mubarek win (22.3%)Double chance1X77.7%1.29
Over 27% · Under 73%Goals 2.5Under73%1.37
Yes 32% · No 68%Both teams scoreNo68%1.47
1.78 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Xorazm FK Urganch win45%2.22
Draw33%3.03
FK Mashal Mubarek win22%4.55
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 66.9%
Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 27% · Under 73%
Away share of expected goals 33.1%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 32% · No 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchXorazm FK Urganch
LWLLL
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchFK Mashal Mubarek
LLDWL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
45%
Win probability excluding draw
22%3
Points from supplied form
41.19
Expected goals
0.59Xorazm FK UrganchFK Mashal Mubarek
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 33%.
Match questions
Xorazm FK Urganch vs FK Mashal Mubarek FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Xorazm FK Urganch win 45%，Draw 33%，FK Mashal Mubarek win 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.78 · Over 2.5 27% · Current selection Under。