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UZB Узбекистан - ПФЛ · Мач ·

Ксоразм Урганч vs Машал Мубарек

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина45%
Равен33%
Победа за госта22%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ксоразм УрганчМашал Мубарек
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под73% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
45% / 33% / 22%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Машал Мубарек win (22.3%)Двоен шанс1X77.7%1.29
Над 27% · Под 73%Goals 2.5Под73%1.37
Да 32% · Не 68%И двата отбора да отбележатНе68%1.47
1.78 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Ксоразм Урганч win45%2.22
Равен33%3.03
Машал Мубарек win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ксоразм Урганч1.19

Домакин share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 27% · Под 73%

Машал Мубарек0.59

Гост share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 32% · Не 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Ксоразм Урганч

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Точки3

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Машал Мубарек

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
22%
3
Points from supplied form
4
1.19
Expected goals
0.59
Ксоразм УрганчМашал Мубарек
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ксоразм Урганч signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Машал Мубарек signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Ксоразм Урганч vs Машал Мубарек FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ксоразм Урганч печеливш 45%,Равен 33%,Машал Мубарек печеливш 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Над 2.5 27% · Current selection Под