MatchFormula Znajdź mecz
Menu
UTC+8
Strefa czasowaAsia/Shanghai
Polski
UZB Uzbekistan - PFL · Mecz ·

Xorazm FK Urganch vs FK Mashal Mubarek

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy45%
Remis33%
Wygrana gości22%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Xorazm FK UrganchFK Mashal Mubarek
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej73% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
45% / 33% / 22%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Mashal Mubarek win (22.3%)Podwójna szansa1X77.7%1.29
Powyżej 27% · Poniżej 73%Goals 2.5Poniżej73%1.37
Tak 32% · Nie 68%Obie drużyny strzeląNie68%1.47
1.78 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.7 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Xorazm FK Urganch win45%2.22
Remis33%3.03
FK Mashal Mubarek win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Xorazm FK Urganch1.19

Gospodarze share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 27% · Poniżej 73%

FK Mashal Mubarek0.59

Goście share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 32% · Nie 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Xorazm FK Urganch

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkty3

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

FK Mashal Mubarek

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
22%
3
Points from supplied form
4
1.19
Expected goals
0.59
Xorazm FK UrganchFK Mashal Mubarek
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Xorazm FK Urganch signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Mashal Mubarek signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Xorazm FK Urganch vs FK Mashal Mubarek FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Xorazm FK Urganch wygrana 45%,Remis 33%,FK Mashal Mubarek wygrana 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Powyżej 2.5 27% · Current selection Poniżej