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UZB Uzbekistan - PFL · Zápas ·

Xorazm FK Urganch vs FK Mashal Mubarek

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich45%
Remíza33%
Výhra hostí22%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Xorazm FK UrganchFK Mashal Mubarek
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej73% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
45% / 33% / 22%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Mashal Mubarek win (22.3%)Dvojitá šanca1X77.7%1.29
Viac 27% · Menej 73%Goals 2.5Menej73%1.37
Áno 32% · Nie 68%Oba tímy skórujúNie68%1.47
1.78 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
9.7 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Xorazm FK Urganch win45%2.22
Remíza33%3.03
FK Mashal Mubarek win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Xorazm FK Urganch1.19

Domáci share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 27% · Menej 73%

FK Mashal Mubarek0.59

Hostia share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 32% · Nie 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Xorazm FK Urganch

0.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Body3

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

FK Mashal Mubarek

0.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Výhra probability excluding draw
22%
3
Points from supplied form
4
1.19
Expected goals
0.59
Xorazm FK UrganchFK Mashal Mubarek
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Xorazm FK Urganch signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Mashal Mubarek signalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Xorazm FK Urganch vs FK Mashal Mubarek FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Xorazm FK Urganch výhra 45%,Remíza 33%,FK Mashal Mubarek výhra 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Viac 2.5 27% · Current selection Menej