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UZB ウズベキスタン PFL · 試合 ·

ホズラムFKウルゲンチ vs FKマシュアル・ムバレク

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利45%
引き分け33%
アウェイ勝利22%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利45% selection probability
Projected score1–1ホズラムFKウルゲンチFKマシュアル・ムバレク
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー73% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
45% / 33% / 22%試合結果ホーム勝利45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FKマシュアル・ムバレク win (22.3%)ダブルチャンス1X77.7%1.29
オーバー 27% · アンダー 73%Goals 2.5アンダー73%1.37
はい 32% · いいえ 68%両チーム得点いいえ68%1.47
1.78 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ホズラムFKウルゲンチ win45%2.22
引き分け33%3.03
FKマシュアル・ムバレク win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ホズラムFKウルゲンチ1.19

ホーム share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 27% · アンダー 73%

FKマシュアル・ムバレク0.59

アウェイ share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 32% · いいえ 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ホズラムFKウルゲンチ

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn0Losses4ポイント3

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

FKマシュアル・ムバレク

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
勝ち probability excluding draw
22%
3
Points from supplied form
4
1.19
Expected goals
0.59
ホズラムFKウルゲンチFKマシュアル・ムバレク
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ホズラムFKウルゲンチ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FKマシュアル・ムバレク signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

ホズラムFKウルゲンチ vs FKマシュアル・ムバレク FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ホズラムFKウルゲンチ 勝ち 45%,引き分け 33%,FKマシュアル・ムバレク 勝ち 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · オーバー 2.5 27% · Current selection アンダー