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UZB Ουζμπεκιστάν - PFL · Αγώνας ·

Ξοράζμ Ουργκάντς vs Μασάλ Μουμπάρεκ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου45%
Ισοπαλία33%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου22%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ξοράζμ ΟυργκάντςΜασάλ Μουμπάρεκ
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω73% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
45% / 33% / 22%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Μασάλ Μουμπάρεκ win (22.3%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X77.7%1.29
Άνω 27% · Κάτω 73%Goals 2.5Κάτω73%1.37
Ναι 32% · Όχι 68%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι68%1.47
1.78 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Ξοράζμ Ουργκάντς win45%2.22
Ισοπαλία33%3.03
Μασάλ Μουμπάρεκ win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ξοράζμ Ουργκάντς1.19

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 27% · Κάτω 73%

Μασάλ Μουμπάρεκ0.59

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 32% · Όχι 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ξοράζμ Ουργκάντς

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Μασάλ Μουμπάρεκ

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
22%
3
Points from supplied form
4
1.19
Expected goals
0.59
Ξοράζμ ΟυργκάντςΜασάλ Μουμπάρεκ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ξοράζμ Ουργκάντς signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Μασάλ Μουμπάρεκ signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Ξοράζμ Ουργκάντς vs Μασάλ Μουμπάρεκ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ξοράζμ Ουργκάντς νίκη 45%,Ισοπαλία 33%,Μασάλ Μουμπάρεκ νίκη 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Άνω 2.5 27% · Current selection Κάτω