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PRT Portugal - League U23 · Wedstrijd ·

Sporting U23 vs Benfica U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–23.04 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst31%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst43%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst43% selection probability
Projected score1–2Sporting U23Benfica U23
Expected goals3.04Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven59% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
31% / 25% / 43%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Dubbele Kans1274.6%1.34
Boven 59% · Onder 41%Goals 2.5Boven59%1.69
Ja 61% · Nee 39%Beide teams scorenJa61%1.64
3.04 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
8.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sporting U23 win31%3.232.8831%0.0 pp
Gelijkspel25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Benfica U23 win43%2.332.0543.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sporting U231.46

Thuis share of expected goals 48%

Total expected goals3.04Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 59% · Onder 41%

Benfica U231.58

Uit share of expected goals 52%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 61% · Nee 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Sporting U23

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Benfica U23

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
43%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.46
Expected goals
1.58
Sporting U23Benfica U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sporting U23 signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Benfica U23 signalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Sporting U23 vs Benfica U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sporting U23 gewonnen 31%,Gelijkspel 25%,Benfica U23 gewonnen 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.04 · Boven 2.5 59% · Current selection Boven