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PRT Portugal - Ligue U23 · Match ·

Sporting - U23 vs Benfica - U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–23.04 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile31%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur43%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur43% selection probability
Projected score1–2Sporting - U23Benfica - U23
Expected goals3.04Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de59% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
31% / 25% / 43%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Double chance1274.6%1.34
Plus de 59% · Moins de 41%Goals 2.5Plus de59%1.69
Oui 61% · Non 39%Les deux équipes marquentOui61%1.64
3.04 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
8.9 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sporting - U23 win31%3.232.8831%0.0 pp
Nul25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Benfica - U23 win43%2.332.0543.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sporting - U231.46

Domicile share of expected goals 48%

Total expected goals3.04Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 59% · Moins de 41%

Benfica - U231.58

Extérieur share of expected goals 52%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 61% · Non 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Sporting - U23

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Benfica - U23

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Gagné probability excluding draw
43%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.46
Expected goals
1.58
Sporting - U23Benfica - U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sporting - U23 signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Benfica - U23 signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Sporting - U23 vs Benfica - U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sporting - U23 victoire 31%,Nul 25%,Benfica - U23 victoire 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.04 · Plus de 2.5 59% · Current selection Plus de