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PRT Portugal - Liga de Sub23 · Partida ·

Sporting CP Sub23 vs SL Benfica Sub23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–23.04 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa31%
Empate25%
Vitória visitante43%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante43% selection probability
Projected score1–2Sporting CP Sub23SL Benfica Sub23
Expected goals3.04Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima59% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
31% / 25% / 43%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Dupla Chance1274.6%1.34
Acima 59% · Abaixo 41%Goals 2.5Acima59%1.69
Sim 61% · Não 39%Ambas as equipes marcamSim61%1.64
3.04 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–2
8.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sporting CP Sub23 win31%3.232.8831%0.0 pp
Empate25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
SL Benfica Sub23 win43%2.332.0543.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sporting CP Sub231.46

Mandante share of expected goals 48%

Total expected goals3.04Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 59% · Abaixo 41%

SL Benfica Sub231.58

Visitante share of expected goals 52%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitSim 61% · Não 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Sporting CP Sub23

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

SL Benfica Sub23

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
43%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.46
Expected goals
1.58
Sporting CP Sub23SL Benfica Sub23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sporting CP Sub23 signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SL Benfica Sub23 signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Sporting CP Sub23 vs SL Benfica Sub23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sporting CP Sub23 ganhou 31%,Empate 25%,SL Benfica Sub23 ganhou 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.04 · Acima 2.5 59% · Current selection Acima