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PRT Portugál U23 liga · Mérkőzés ·

Sporting - U23 vs Benfica - U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–23.04 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem31%
Döntetlen25%
Vendég győzelem43%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem43% selection probability
Projected score1–2Sporting - U23Benfica - U23
Expected goals3.04Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett59% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
31% / 25% / 43%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Dupla esély1274.6%1.34
Felett 59% · Alatt 41%Goals 2.5Felett59%1.69
Igen 61% · Nem 39%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen61%1.64
3.04 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–2
8.9 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sporting - U23 win31%3.232.8831%0.0 pp
Döntetlen25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Benfica - U23 win43%2.332.0543.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sporting - U231.46

Hazai share of expected goals 48%

Total expected goals3.04Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 59% · Alatt 41%

Benfica - U231.58

Vendég share of expected goals 52%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitIgen 61% · Nem 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Sporting - U23

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Benfica - U23

1.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontok5

SignalVendég matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Nyert probability excluding draw
43%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.46
Expected goals
1.58
Sporting - U23Benfica - U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sporting - U23 signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Benfica - U23 signalVendég matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Sporting - U23 vs Benfica - U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sporting - U23 nyer 31%,Döntetlen 25%,Benfica - U23 nyer 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.04 · 2.5 felett 59% · Current selection Felett