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PRT Portugal - Liga sub-23 · Partido ·

Sporting sub-23 vs Benfica sub-23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–23.04 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local31%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante43%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante43% selection probability
Projected score1–2Sporting sub-23Benfica sub-23
Expected goals3.04Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de59% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
31% / 25% / 43%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Doble Oportunidad1274.6%1.34
Más de 59% · Menos de 41%Goals 2.5Más de59%1.69
Sí 61% · No 39%Ambos equipos marcan61%1.64
3.04 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2
8.9 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sporting sub-23 win31%3.232.8831%0.0 pp
Empate25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Benfica sub-23 win43%2.332.0543.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sporting sub-231.46

Local share of expected goals 48%

Total expected goals3.04Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 59% · Menos de 41%

Benfica sub-231.58

Visitante share of expected goals 52%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 61% · No 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Sporting sub-23

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Benfica sub-23

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Ganado probability excluding draw
43%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.46
Expected goals
1.58
Sporting sub-23Benfica sub-23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sporting sub-23 signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Benfica sub-23 signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Sporting sub-23 vs Benfica sub-23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sporting sub-23 ganada 31%,Empate 25%,Benfica sub-23 ganada 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.04 · Más de 2.5 59% · Current selection Más de