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PRT Portugal - Liga sub-23 · Partido ·

Leixões sub-23 vs UD Leiria sub-23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local55%
Empate24%
Victoria visitante21%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Leixões sub-23UD Leiria sub-23
Expected goals3.24Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de63% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
55% / 24% / 21%Resultado del partidoVictoria local55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD Leiria sub-23 win (21.1%)Doble Oportunidad1X78.9%1.27
Más de 63% · Menos de 37%Goals 2.5Más de63%1.59
Sí 56% · No 44%Ambos equipos marcan56%1.79
3.24 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.1 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapUD Leiria sub-23 winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leixões sub-23 win55%1.821.6554.3%+0.7 pp
Empate24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
UD Leiria sub-23 win21%4.764.1021.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leixões sub-232.28

Local share of expected goals 70.4%

Total expected goals3.24Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 63% · Menos de 37%

UD Leiria sub-230.96

Visitante share of expected goals 29.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 56% · No 44%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Leixões sub-23

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puntos9

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

UD Leiria sub-23

2.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puntos11

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Ganado probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
11
2.28
Expected goals
0.96
Leixões sub-23UD Leiria sub-23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leixões sub-23 signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Leiria sub-23 signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Leixões sub-23 vs UD Leiria sub-23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leixões sub-23 ganada 55%,Empate 24%,UD Leiria sub-23 ganada 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Más de 2.5 63% · Current selection Más de