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PRT Portugalia - Liga U23 · Meci ·

Leixoes U23 vs UD Leiria U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde55%
Egal24%
Victorie oaspeți21%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Leixoes U23UD Leiria U23
Expected goals3.24Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste63% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
55% / 24% / 21%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD Leiria U23 win (21.1%)Șansă dublă1X78.9%1.27
Peste 63% · Sub 37%Goals 2.5Peste63%1.59
Da 56% · Nu 44%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa56%1.79
3.24 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapUD Leiria U23 winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leixoes U23 win55%1.821.6554.3%+0.7 pp
Egal24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
UD Leiria U23 win21%4.764.1021.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leixoes U232.28

Gazde share of expected goals 70.4%

Total expected goals3.24Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 63% · Sub 37%

UD Leiria U230.96

Oaspeți share of expected goals 29.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 56% · Nu 44%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Leixoes U23

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puncte9

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

UD Leiria U23

2.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puncte11

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Câștig probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
11
2.28
Expected goals
0.96
Leixoes U23UD Leiria U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leixoes U23 signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Leiria U23 signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Leixoes U23 vs UD Leiria U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leixoes U23 câștig 55%,Egal 24%,UD Leiria U23 câștig 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Peste 2.5 63% · Current selection Peste