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PRT Portugal - U23-liga · Kamp ·

Leixoes U23 vs UD Leiria U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr55%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr21%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Leixoes U23UD Leiria U23
Expected goals3.24Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
55% / 24% / 21%KampresultatHjemmesejr55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD Leiria U23 win (21.1%)Dobbeltchance1X78.9%1.27
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Ja 56% · Nej 44%Begge hold scorerJa56%1.79
3.24 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapUD Leiria U23 winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leixoes U23 win55%1.821.6554.3%+0.7 pp
Uafgjort24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
UD Leiria U23 win21%4.764.1021.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leixoes U232.28

Hjemme share of expected goals 70.4%

Total expected goals3.24Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

UD Leiria U230.96

Ude share of expected goals 29.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nej 44%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Leixoes U23

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Point9

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

UD Leiria U23

2.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Point11

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vundet probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
11
2.28
Expected goals
0.96
Leixoes U23UD Leiria U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leixoes U23 signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Leiria U23 signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Leixoes U23 vs UD Leiria U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leixoes U23 vundet 55%,Uafgjort 24%,UD Leiria U23 vundet 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over

Leixoes U23 vs UD Leiria U23 Prediction, Stats, Odds & Form | MatchFormula