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PRT Portugal - U23-liga · Kamp ·

Sporting U23 vs Benfica U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–23.04 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr31%
Uafgjort25%
Udesejr43%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr43% selection probability
Projected score1–2Sporting U23Benfica U23
Expected goals3.04Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over59% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
31% / 25% / 43%KampresultatUdesejr43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Dobbeltchance1274.6%1.34
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Ja 61% · Nej 39%Begge hold scorerJa61%1.64
3.04 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
8.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sporting U23 win31%3.232.8831%0.0 pp
Uafgjort25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Benfica U23 win43%2.332.0543.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sporting U231.46

Hjemme share of expected goals 48%

Total expected goals3.04Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%

Benfica U231.58

Ude share of expected goals 52%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 61% · Nej 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Sporting U23

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Benfica U23

1.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Point5

SignalUde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Vundet probability excluding draw
43%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.46
Expected goals
1.58
Sporting U23Benfica U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sporting U23 signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Benfica U23 signalUde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Sporting U23 vs Benfica U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sporting U23 vundet 31%,Uafgjort 25%,Benfica U23 vundet 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.04 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over