Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
31% / 25% / 43%Match resultAway win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Double chance1274.6%1.34
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.04 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sporting U23 win31%3.232.8831%0.0 pp
Draw25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Benfica U23 win43%2.332.0543.5%-0.5 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 48%
Total expected goals3.04Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%
Away share of expected goals 52%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchSporting U23
WDLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchBenfica U23
DDLLW
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
31%
Win probability excluding draw
43%7
Points from supplied form
51.46
Expected goals
1.58Sporting U23Benfica U23
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Sporting U23 vs Benfica U23 FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Sporting U23 win 31%，Draw 25%，Benfica U23 win 43%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.04 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over。