Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
55% / 24% / 21%Match resultHome win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD Leiria U23 win (21.1%)Double chance1X78.9%1.27
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
3.24 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapUD Leiria U23 winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leixoes U23 win55%1.821.6554.3%+0.7 pp
Draw24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
UD Leiria U23 win21%4.764.1021.8%-0.8 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 70.4%
Total expected goals3.24Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%
Away share of expected goals 29.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchLeixoes U23
WDDDW
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchUD Leiria U23
DWWWD
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
55%
Win probability excluding draw
21%9
Points from supplied form
112.28
Expected goals
0.96Leixoes U23UD Leiria U23
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
Leixoes U23 vs UD Leiria U23 FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Leixoes U23 win 55%，Draw 24%，UD Leiria U23 win 21%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.24 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over。