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PRT Portugal U23 League · Fixture ·

Famalicao U23 vs Felgueiras 1932 U23

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Away form
Home win54%
Draw23%
Away win23%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 54% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Famalicao U23Felgueiras 1932 U23
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 23% / 23%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Double chance1277.4%1.29
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.84 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Famalicao U23 win54%1.851.6055.6%
Draw23%4.354.0022.2%
Felgueiras 1932 U23 win23%4.354.0022.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Famalicao U231.70

Home share of expected goals 59.9%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Felgueiras 1932 U231.14

Away share of expected goals 40.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Famalicao U23

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Felgueiras 1932 U23

0.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Win probability excluding draw
23%
11
Points from supplied form
0
1.70
Expected goals
1.14
Famalicao U23Felgueiras 1932 U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Famalicao U23 signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Felgueiras 1932 U23 signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Famalicao U23 vs Felgueiras 1932 U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Famalicao U23 win 54%,Draw 23%,Felgueiras 1932 U23 win 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over