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PRT Portugal U23 League · Match ·

Leixoes U23 vs UD Leiria U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger55%
Oavgjort24%
Bortaseger21%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Leixoes U23UD Leiria U23
Expected goals3.24Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över63% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
55% / 24% / 21%MatchresultatHemmaseger55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD Leiria U23 win (21.1%)Dubbelchans1X78.9%1.27
Över 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Över63%1.59
Ja 56% · Nej 44%Båda lagen gör målJa56%1.79
3.24 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.1 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapUD Leiria U23 winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leixoes U23 win55%1.821.6554.3%+0.7 pp
Oavgjort24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
UD Leiria U23 win21%4.764.1021.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leixoes U232.28

Hemma share of expected goals 70.4%

Total expected goals3.24Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 63% · Under 37%

UD Leiria U230.96

Borta share of expected goals 29.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nej 44%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Leixoes U23

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poäng9

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

UD Leiria U23

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
11
2.28
Expected goals
0.96
Leixoes U23UD Leiria U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leixoes U23 signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Leiria U23 signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Leixoes U23 vs UD Leiria U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leixoes U23 vunnen 55%,Oavgjort 24%,UD Leiria U23 vunnen 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Över 2.5 63% · Current selection Över