Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
58% / 22% / 20%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD Leiria U23 win (19.9%)Dubbele Kans1X80.1%1.25
Boven 63% · Onder 37%Goals 2.5Boven63%1.59
Ja 56% · Nee 44%Beide teams scorenJa56%1.79
3.23 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
9.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.6%Largest probability gapLeixoes U23 winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leixoes U23 win58%1.721.5557.3%+0.7 pp
Gelijkspel22%4.554.0022.2%-0.2 pp
UD Leiria U23 win20%5.004.3320.5%-0.5 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 70.3%
Total expected goals3.23Openen
Dedicated goals model: Boven 63% · Onder 37%
Uit share of expected goals 29.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nee 44%Match profileOpenen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchLeixoes U23
WDDDW
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9
SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5
Uit-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchUD Leiria U23
DWWWD
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
58%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
20%9
Points from supplied form
112.27
Expected goals
0.96Leixoes U23UD Leiria U23
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 22%.
Match questions
Leixoes U23 vs UD Leiria U23 FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Leixoes U23 gewonnen 58%，Gelijkspel 22%，UD Leiria U23 gewonnen 20%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.23 · Boven 2.5 63% · Current selection Boven。